Pillar 02 · Composite Score 0–100
Political Finance Risk Index
Every candidate receives a weighted score across six risk vectors. Higher scores signal a greater likelihood that campaign finance is being used to capture the state. Weights are transparent and can be re-tuned as new evidence becomes available.
Spending Beyond Legal Limits
25%Estimated spend ÷ Electoral Act §88 ceiling.
Undisclosed Funding
20%Gap between observed spend and declared assets / disclosed donations.
Use of State Resources
15%Government vehicles, venues, or staff observed at rallies.
Procurement Connections
15%Donors or sponsors holding active public contracts.
Shell Company Links
15%Donations routed via entities with no filings or beneficial owners.
Foreign Influence
10%Non-Nigerian donors, offshore transfers, or foreign-linked vendors.
High Risk (65+)
0
Moderate (35–64)
0
Low (<35)
0
Scoring candidates…
Scoring methodology. The overspend factor is calculated directly from observed vs statutory limits. The remaining five factors are seeded from deterministic heuristics until each vector has a dedicated live feed (procurement portal joins, beneficial-ownership registers, INEC disclosures). Contribute evidence via Rally Forensics.